Market research institute Tuoba Industrial Research Institute pointed out that thanks to the Chinese government's strong support for the semiconductor lighting industry, and LCD TV LCDTV brand manufacturers continue to accelerate the introduction of LED-backlit LCD TV LCDTV products, global LED manufacturers have expanded MOCVD machine capacity, 2010 The number of new MOCVD machines in the world will reach 720. It is estimated that the global LED output value will reach 9.6 billion US dollars in 2010, with an annual growth rate of 37%. Among them, the LED output value of Taiwan in China will reach 2.5 billion US dollars in 2010, an annual increase of 43 US dollars, and the global market share is about 26%.
In terms of backlight, Tuoba said that the penetration rate of LEDTV market will reach 20.3% in 2010, and the penetration rate will reach 100% in 2014. The shipment of LED-backlit LCDTV will also increase from 36.95 million units in 2010. To 260 million units in 2014. If a LED-backlit LCDTV requires 300-500 LEDs, by 2014, the global TV backlight will need to use 78 billion to 130 billion LEDs, which means that 710-1180 MOCVD machines are needed to support .
In terms of lighting, Tuoba predicts that the number of new MOCVD machines in the world in 2010 will be enough to eat nearly 70% of the global LED backlight TV demand. Therefore, if the LED production capacity continues to increase, the excess capacity will be actively invested in the lighting field. The price of LED lamps has dropped rapidly, prompting LED lighting to penetrate the global lighting market ahead of 2011.
Although the LED lighting market still has to face the low-price competition of Chinese manufacturers and the strong leadership of Japan, Taiwanese companies can still cut into the LED lighting market by means of low development cost advantage and product innovation capability. The huge LED application market in mainland China has indeed opened the door for Taiwanese companies. In the future, Taiwanese companies can rely on the manufacturing and cost control capabilities of European and American companies, combined with the Chinese market and cost advantages, as the LED industry giant. Patent negotiation chips.
According to Tuoba's observation, the Chinese mainland government actively supports the semiconductor lighting industry. Local governments have concentrated on the development of LED lighting technology new areas, and heavily subsidized LED chip manufacturers to invest in mainland China. The attitude of Taiwan LED factories to invest in mainland China has also been Passive to active layout.
In order to obtain considerable market opportunities, global LED manufacturers have recently invested heavily in the expansion of MOCVD machines. Tuoba expects that the number of new MOCVD machines in the world will reach 720 in 2010, an increase of 232% compared with 2009. Among them, South Korea, Taiwan, and China will have the largest number of new machines, accounting for 36% of the total. 32% and 26%.
Tuoba believes that among the top five LED die factories in Taiwan, the Pan-Guangzhou Group has expanded its production capacity through integration. At present, the number of MOCVD machines of the Pan-Platinum Group has reached 291, which has stabilized its leading position. AUO's Ronda, and Canyuan, etc., have already built MOCVD machines with more than 50 units.
However, due to the future expansion of the Taiwanese company's epitaxial plant in mainland China, the number of MOCVD machines it has expanded will be significantly ahead of Taiwan. It is expected that the development of the LED industry will gradually shift to mainland China. In addition, under the trend of the larger Evergrande, Taiwanese chip makers may continue to integrate with the Pan-Guangzhou Electric Group and the panel makers (such as AUO) in the future.
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